PhD Candidate · Development & Environmental Economics

I examine how climate finance is allocated, and what it changes on the ground.

Development economist at CERDI (CNRS · UCA · IRD). I use geocoded data, machine learning, and causal inference to follow climate and development finance from commitment to local impact.

CERDI · Clermont-Ferrand → ATER · Université Clermont Auvergne
Portrait of Pierre Beaucoral
45.78°N, 3.08°E - Clermont-Ferrand, FR
01 · Research

What I work on

Four threads, one question: does development and climate finance reach the places and outcomes it promises?

01

Climate & adaptation finance

Tracking the volume, targeting, and gaps in "climate money" - from international commitments to who actually receives it.

02

Geocoded & spatial data

Mapping development aid to the subnational places it lands, so impact can be measured where it actually happens.

03

Causal inference

Difference-in-differences, event studies, and double machine learning to estimate the real effects of climate policy.

04

ML & NLP for economics

Using text-as-data and machine learning to classify and extract signal from large policy and project corpora.

02 · Selected work

Publications & working papers

All publications →
2025
JMP

Development Goals, Environmental Costs? Evidence from Geocoded Climate and Non-Climate Finance

The global challenge of climate change is increasingly a place-based development challenge: investments that raise living standards also shape long-run emissions through energy systems, infrastructure, and urban form. This paper uses …

2026
Work in progress

Maladaptation by Displacement: Spatial Spillovers of Adaptation Finance in Sub-Saharan Africa

P. Beaucoral, Florian Weiler

Ongoing work with Florian Weiler (Central European University) on the spatial dimension of adaptation finance in Sub-Saharan Africa: how geocoded adaptation projects relate to outcomes in the areas around them. The project combines …

2026
Journal article

Cracking the code: enhancing development finance understanding with artificial intelligence

P. Beaucoral · In International Journal of Data Science and Analytics

2026
Work in progress

Subnational allocation of geolocated bilateral adaptation projects: a global analysis, 2010–2020

P. Beaucoral, Paul Vernus

Joint work with Paul Vernus on whom bilateral adaptation finance prioritizes within the countries that receive it. We geolocate adaptation-related projects committed over 2010–2020 by 19 bilateral donors in the 29,099 second-level …

2025
Work in progress

Do National Adaptation Plans Attract Adaptation Finance? Evidence from the Composition of Aid

P. Beaucoral, Michaël Goujon, Sébastien Marchand

Do National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) mobilize additional development finance, or redirect existing finance toward adaptation? Combining NAP adoption dates with OECD CRS commitments for 145 recipient countries over 2009–2024 and a staggered …

04 · About

Hi there.

I’m a development economist in training at CERDI. I spend most of my time debugging my R and Python codes trying to understand where "climate money" goes, what it is for, what it changes locally, and how data and ML can help answer these questions.

From March to May 2026 I was a visiting PhD candidate at Central European University in Vienna, hosted by Prof. Florian Weiler in the Department of Public Policy.

Experience
SEP 2026 - PRESENT
Teaching and Research Fellow (ATER)
École de Droit · Université Clermont Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand
Full service · Licence AES
OCT 2023 - PRESENT
PhD Candidate
CERDI · CNRS · UCA · IRD - Clermont-Ferrand
MAR - MAY 2026
Visiting PhD Candidate
Central European University - Vienna
OCT 2022 - SEP 2023
Research Assistant
FERDI - Clermont-Ferrand
Education
PhD Candidate in Development Economics
Clermont Auvergne University
2023
Master degree in development economics, with honours
Clermont Auvergne University
2021
Bachelor degree in development economics, with honours
Clermont Auvergne University
2018
05 · Contact

Let's talk research, teaching, or a collaboration.

The best way to reach me is by email. I'm always glad to hear from co-authors, students, and others.

Email
Office
CERDI · Floor 4
26 Avenue Léon Blum
63000 Clermont-Ferrand, France